# [FLASH] Iran Parliament Vows to Hold Hormuz ‘By Force’ as New Barrages Hit US Gulf Bases

*Sunday, July 12, 2026 at 6:15 AM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Detected**: 2026-07-12T06:15:21.903Z (3h ago)
**Tags**: Iran, United States, StraitOfHormuz, Gulf, Oil, Missiles, Naval, EnergyMarkets
**Sources**: OSINT
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/alerts/14094.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/summaries

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**Summary**: Iranian officials and IRGC-linked channels now describe the Strait of Hormuz as forcibly seized and kept shut, while new footage and reports show further ballistic missile waves on U.S. bases in Bahrain, Kuwait, Jordan and near Oman after roughly 140 U.S. strikes in Iran overnight. This is no longer a signaling exchange but a contest over control of the world’s most critical oil corridor, with rising odds of sustained shipping disruption and direct U.S.–Iran confrontation.

## Detail

Between 05:45 and 06:15 UTC on 12 July, multiple Iranian political and military channels moved in lockstep to frame the Strait of Hormuz as under Iranian military control, even as new Iranian missile salvos targeted U.S. positions across the Gulf.

A spokesperson for the Iranian Parliament declared around 06:11 UTC that Iran has “seized the Strait of Hormuz with force” and will “maintain it with force” (Report 2), shifting the language from temporary closure to explicit possession. Parallel reporting from teleSUR (Report 24, 05:55 UTC) amplified that Iran has “locked” the strait amid accusations of U.S. violations, referencing earlier IRGC statements that Hormuz will remain shut until Washington ceases “interfering in the region” (Report 8, 06:03 UTC).

At roughly the same time, IRGC-linked and conflict-tracking accounts detailed further Iranian retaliation: posts at 06:03–06:03:38 UTC (Reports 16 and 17) show and describe additional ballistic missile waves, including likely Shahab‑3 family and Kheibar Shekan MRBMs, launched toward U.S. bases in Gulf countries and Jordan. Claimed targets include the U.S. Navy 5th Fleet headquarters in Bahrain and other U.S. military facilities in Kuwait and Jordan. These follow reports that the U.S. hit around 140 Iranian military targets overnight in what is described as a third wave of U.S. strikes (Report 8). Fires observed in Ilam Province in western Iran (Report 13, 05:59 UTC) are attributed locally to those U.S. attacks.

We assess these claims as high-stakes but only partially verified: the closure of Hormuz has been asserted repeatedly in the past 12–24 hours and is being reinforced by senior political figures, which suggests a deliberate strategic posture, not a transient rhetorical spike. The precise damage at U.S. facilities and the effectiveness of missile defenses in Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, Jordan, and near Oman remain unclear, but overnight reporting already indicated impacts near Duqm and along Iran’s southern coast.

For real-world actors, the immediate pressure falls on commercial shipowners, energy majors, insurers, and Gulf governments. Tanker and LNG traffic through Hormuz faces legal, insurance, and physical risk even if kinetic attacks on commercial hulls have not yet been confirmed in this new wave. War-risk premiums are likely to widen sharply; some owners may pause or reroute through the Red Sea and Suez despite Houthi-related risks, adding transit time and cost. Gulf states hosting U.S. basing—Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, Oman, Jordan—must now manage domestic security, protection of critical energy and port infrastructure, and the political fallout of overtly being in the line of Iranian fire.

Militarily, Iran is signaling a willingness to absorb U.S. airstrikes on its territory while expanding its own strike envelope across multiple host nations. The mention of Kheibar Shekan MRBMs indicates use of more advanced, potentially higher-accuracy systems capable of stressing U.S. and partner air defenses and saturating base protection. U.S. Central Command will face growing pressure to harden bases, disperse assets, and potentially conduct operations directly tied to maritime security in Hormuz, including convoying, air and naval suppression of Iranian coastal batteries, and cyber operations against IRGC command-and-control.

Markets are directly exposed through the roughly one-fifth of global oil supply and substantial LNG volumes that normally transit Hormuz. Even if actual flows are not yet fully interrupted, sustained Iranian claims of armed control and repeated U.S.–Iran strikes near energy hubs will drive anticipatory pricing. Oil benchmarks are likely to spike intraday; gold and U.S. Treasuries should see safe-haven inflows; GCC equity markets and currencies may weaken on higher risk premia. Shipping and energy equities will trade on perceived duration of closure risk, while defense contractors benefit from the visible demand signal for missile defense and hardened basing.

Over the next 24–48 hours, key watchpoints include: (1) satellite and AIS data on actual tanker and LNG transits through Hormuz—whether flows stall, slow, or reroute; (2) any confirmed attack or interdiction of commercial vessels, which would move this from a declared to an enforced blockade; (3) U.S. messaging on freedom-of-navigation operations or explicit red lines for Iranian missile use; (4) GCC statements on base access and domestic security measures; and (5) early oil and currency market reactions, especially moves in Brent, WTI, gold, and GCC sovereign CDS. A U.S. decision to publicly escort convoys or to hit IRGC naval assets inside or near the strait would mark another major step up the escalation ladder.

**MARKET IMPACT ASSESSMENT:**
Risk-off impulse across global markets; Brent and WTI likely to spike further on sustained closure rhetoric and visible damage near Gulf energy infrastructure. Gold bid higher on U.S.–Iran escalation. GCC equities and currencies under pressure, with CDS widening on Gulf sovereigns. Shipping, energy, defense, and insurance names see sharp moves; rerouting via Red Sea and other lanes raises freight and LNG pricing.