# [WARNING] Reports: Iran Hardliners Clash With Security Forces as US Deal Sparks Street Fury

*Saturday, June 13, 2026 at 9:31 PM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Detected**: 2026-06-13T21:31:00.072Z (44h ago)
**Tags**: Iran, UnitedStates, StraitOfHormuz, Energy, MiddleEast, Protests, OilMarkets
**Sources**: OSINT
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/alerts/10353.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/summaries

---

**Summary**: Protests and reported clashes in Tehran, Qom and Mashhad on Saturday night challenge the political space for Iran’s leadership to sign Sunday’s US deal that would reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The unrest raises the risk of last‑minute concessions, delay or internal power plays that could reshape Gulf energy export timelines and regional threat levels.

## Detail

Hardline opposition to the emerging US–Iran agreement broke into the open on Saturday evening, with reports of protests and street clashes in multiple Iranian cities just hours before the deal is due to be signed.

According to Iranian‑focused OSINT channels, by around 20:26–21:02 UTC on 13 June, protests against the agreement were reported in Tehran and simultaneously in the religious strongholds of Qom and Mashhad. One report explicitly described “clashes between opponents of the agreement and security forces” in Qom and Mashhad. A separate account at 21:01–21:02 UTC described demonstrations in Tehran’s Avicenna Square, where conservative supporters chanted against Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and parliamentary speaker Mohammad Ghalibaf, including calls of “Death to Ghalibaf” and demands to avenge the assassination of Ali Khamenei.

At roughly the same time, a prominent pro‑IRGC cleric, Hojjatoleslam Nabavian, publicly denounced the agreement text, claiming “we become a colony of America” and alleging that Araghchi “has agreed to all proposals from America and has rejected nothing.” This rhetoric, while political, is notable as it frames the deal as surrender, potentially hardening IRGC and Basij resistance. These developments are unfolding against the backdrop of confirmed statements by US President Donald Trump earlier (around 20:08–20:21 UTC) that a deal with Iran will be signed Sunday and that the Strait of Hormuz will be “immediately open to all” once it is in place.

For ordinary Iranians, the trajectory of this deal and the state’s response to protests will shape day‑to‑day economic survival: sanctions relief, currency stability, fuel prices and access to imports hinge on whether the agreement sticks. For Gulf residents and seafarers, the deal is being sold as the path to safer shipping lanes; a breakdown under domestic pressure would extend the period of elevated risk of attacks on tankers and energy infrastructure.

Security implications are twofold. Domestically, visible pushback in core regime cities suggests fractures or at least friction within the conservative camp over the concessions reportedly embedded in the memorandum, especially on nuclear issues and US access/verification. If protests broaden or turn more violent, the leadership may be forced into a harsher crackdown, raising the risk of miscalculation or splintering within security organs. Regionally, Israel is already signaling alarm: a report at 20:53 UTC quotes senior Israeli officials calling the memorandum a “catastrophe” that “damages Israeli interests” and lamenting that “Trump us failed… we are no longer in the circuit.” That rhetoric points to a higher probability of unilateral Israeli covert or kinetic action to offset what it sees as an unfavorable shift in the balance of power, particularly around Iran’s nuclear and missile infrastructure.

For markets, this turbulence injects uncertainty into the timing and durability of any reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Traders who have already started to price in a normalization of Gulf flows may need to recalibrate over the weekend: a failed signing or visible dilution of enforcement mechanisms could prolong elevated risk premia on Brent and Dubai benchmarks, keep shipping insurance rates high in the Gulf of Oman, and support safe‑haven flows into gold. Regional FX (notably the rial in offshore markets and GCC currencies via sentiment) and equities tied to energy, shipping and defense contractors are directly exposed.

Over the next 24–48 hours, key watchpoints are: (1) whether the Sunday signing proceeds on the announced schedule and with which Iranian signatories present; (2) the scale and geographic spread of further protests tonight in Tehran, Qom, Mashhad and other provincial cities; (3) evidence of IRGC or Basij deployments beyond routine crowd control, which would indicate regime concern about internal stability; (4) any sign that Iranian negotiators seek to reopen parts of the text at the last moment; and (5) Israeli political and military signaling, particularly around nuclear red lines and possible preemptive options. A sharp change on any of these axes would quickly feed into oil, LNG and regional credit pricing as markets reassess whether Hormuz will, in fact, become “open to all” in the near term.

**MARKET IMPACT ASSESSMENT:**
Heightened headline risk for crude, LNG and related shipping equities; options markets may price wider weekend gaps in oil benchmarks and Middle East FX as traders assess the risk that Iran’s leadership delays, dilutes or walks back from a deal seen as critical to reopening Hormuz.
